Multiple Equilibria in Radiative-Convective Atmospheres by Nilton O. Renno, Dept Atmospheric Sci Univ Arizona JWB 335, 4:15pm Monday, May 6, 1996 Joint Seminar with the Department of Meteorology Abstract A one-dimensional, radiative-convective model is used to study the equilibria conditions of moist atmospheres. We show that when the hydrologic cycle is included in the model a subcritical bifurcation occurs, leading to two linearly stable solutions to the radiative-convective equilibria. In this case, when the external forcing is larger than a critical value, a finite amplitude instability can lead to two equilibria. Furthermore, another finite amplitude instability can lead to a runaway greenhouse regime when the solar forcing is larger than a second critical value. In general, previous climate studies with radiative-convective models did not include a hydrologic cycle. Instead, the atmosphere's water vapor mixing ratio was diagnosed based on the climatological profile of relative humidity. We show that fixing the water vapor profile at the climatological value (in the computation of the radiation fluxes only) leads to a unique stable solution to the radiative-convective equilibria. Thus, the crucial part of the hydrologic cycle which allows multiple solutions is the relaxation of the assumption of a climatological water vapor profile. The first equilibrium corresponds to an optically thin atmosphere. In this regime, the system is nearly linear and is in a state of small dissipation. The second equilibrium corresponds to an optically thick atmosphere. In this second regime, the system is highly nonlinear and is in a state of large dissipation. We argue that, of the two linearly stable equilibria, one corresponds to the weakest heat engine while the other corresponds to the most powerful heat engine possible within the constraints of moist convection for a given forcing value. In the weakest heat engine regime, the bulk of the emission of radiation to space originates in the warm surface and low troposphere. This regime is stable to finite amplitude perturbations when the radiation emitted by the opaque version of the planet is larger than the absorbed solar radiation. In the most powerful heat engine regime, the bulk of the emission of radiation to space originates in the cold upper troposphere. Nilton O. Renno Department of Atmospheric Sciences The University of Arizona Tucson, AZ 85721 Request for preprints and reprints to rmm@math.utah.edu. This source can be found at http://www.math.utah.edu/research/